EndGame!
As of today, most major polls are indicating that the race will be close, although Barack does have the upper hand.
In terms of poll results at the state level, things are going so good for Barack that it almost seems unreal! Who could imagine a few years ago that a man of African descent, and that too a Democrat, would have a chance at winning not one, but two southern states, Virginia and North Carolina.
Senator McCain is a good person, and was a really good presidential candidate in 2000. Out of the Republican pack this year, he was probably the best candidate as well. Having said that, his candidacy this year has exposed his weaksnesses as a potential president. Previously extremely popular amongst independents and Democrats, his pick of Sarah Palin was the first mistake he made, giving many the impression that he places politics above the country.
Although Sarah initially generated a lot of excitement, it soon became clear that as of now, she does not have the intellectual depth or understanding of issues to make a competent president should McCain be elected and something happen to him. It is beyond understanding why she could not name any newspapers or magazines she read to Katie Couric. By picking Sarah, McCain hoped to kill two birds with one stone, did not make any headway on one bird (Hillary Supporters), did kill one bird (managed to increase his support among religious conservatives) but totally allowed another bird to escape (support of independents and intellectual conservatives). Another mistake was his decision to suspend his campaign for the financial crisis…it exposed him as a reactive, not proactive or steady, person, and somewhat of a hypocrite as well, since he did remain in the public eye and hence did not really suspend his
campaign.
Senator Obama, in contrast, has shown himself to be a person with vision and steadfastness, not allowing day to day changes in the news cycle to control or distract him. He has been able to turn crises into opportunity (his speech on race after the Wright scandal being an example). His opponents try to smear him with the ultraliberal tag, but he has shown the ability to stand upto populist tendencies when he opposed the repeal of the gasoline tax when both Hillary and McCain supported it during the summer when gas was expensive.Barack’s choice of Biden was not necessarily big on style but had some substance to it.
However, the election is still two days away. Polls notwithstanding, anything could happen, McCain could very well lead a successful turnaround. Polls have been proven to be wrong in the past (India, 2004, UK, 1992) and surprises can always happen. In politics, it ain’t over till it’s over.
August 24, 2008
Biden’s the Best
After months of speculation, Barack Obama has finally announced his choice for vice president. Joe Biden, a moderate
Democrat who is respected by both sides of the political aisle, will make an excellent counsigliere to Obama, and
most importantly, will make an excellent President should, God forbid, something happen to Obama if he is elected.
The choice of Biden, although a bit unexpected until about a week ago, is a masterstroke for many reasons. One good
reason is the fact that Biden is NOT Hillary Clinton. A VP should be someone the president trusts, not someone the
president is afraid will stab him in the back . A VP should be someone dedicated to the goals of the
administration, not someone who is interested in her or his own agenda. While choosing Hillary as his VP candidate
might have gotten Obama some votes from Hillary’s core constituency of older white women, it more likely would have
lost him a huge number of votes from the unique coalition of political newbies, Western state independents, and
liberal Republicans painstakingly built by Obama’s campaign.
More than 30 years of effective and influential functioning in the Senate gives Biden the ability to advise Obama on
how to deal with the legistative bodies of the US. Much has been made of the fact that Biden’s extensive Washington
experience makes him an insider which contrasts with Obama’s message of change. The fact is that if Obama intends to
implement any kind of ‘change’ he will need to work with the Senate and House, and needs someone with intimate
knowldedge of the working of these institutions. Biden, with his strong record of legislative accomplishments,
amongst them the Biden Crime law and VAWA, is the ideal person to guide Obama.
On foreign policy, this writer has long held the view that Obama does have a strong understanding of the world and
has what it takes to defend the US’ interests in the international arena. Biden’s extensive knowledge of foreign
affairs and stewardship of the Foreign Relations Committee complements and strengthens Obama. An advocate of strong
ties with democracies such as India, Biden tends to be a realist as well, although his position on trifurcating Iraq
may not be the best for that country. But hey, you don’t have to agree with a candidate on each and every issue.
One job of a vice-presidential candidate is to function as an attack dog, attacking the presidential candidate’s
rival(s) while the candidate himself/herself can focus on larger issues. Being a good friend of John McCain’s,
Biden is uniquely qualified to fill this role. Who knows a person’s weaknesses better than a really good friend? And
Biden’s overall personal reputation will make sure that at least the Democratic side does not take the low road on
the fight for the presidency.
May 17, 2008
Battle Ready Barry
What the US needs now is a president, who while deriving strength from her or his convictions, can understant and appreciate opposite points of view to come up with a reasonable and effective solution to the problem she or he is trying to solve. A president who can maintain both ideological flexibility and clarity of thought at the same time. A change from Bush’s ‘with us or against us’ attitude and Hillary’s "I’ll say anything to get a vote or do anything to look tough" attitude. A change from McCain’s "I used to be against some of Bush’s policies but now I can sacrifice some positions to show that I’m a real conservative" attitude.
An Obama presidency will not bring about quck, radical change. I think the country will be at about the same state it is right now after 4 years of an Obama presidency. But many of the decisions made during an Obama presidency will have an impact that will last beyond his presidency. Regarding the war on terror, Obama seems to understand that the fight against violent Islamic radicalism must be fought, but it must be fought right and fought smart. Turning secular, but brutal dictatorships like Iraq into training grounds for Sunni as well as Shiite extremists is not exactly a smart way to fight Al-Qaeda. Providing military aid to multi-ethnic democracies in the Middle East (I’m talking Lebanon, not Israel) and engaging them economically to isolate fundamentalist forces like Hezbollah is. As bad as George W’s judgment on Iraq has been, it has only been eclipsed by Hillary’s even more stupid and dangerous positions on the Middle East. Voting for a resolution declaring the revolutionary guards to be a terrorist organization , knowing that it would be used as an excuse for Bush to attack Iran? Advocating a a security umbrella, whereby the US would be obliged to defend Saudi Arabia , one of the biggest sources of global Islamic terror, from Iran? Barack gets a lot of flack for his position on negotiations with Iran, but if a genuine need does arise in the future for military action against Iran, the US will have more moral authority to use force after having made a sincere attempt at dialogue. McCain, of course, does not improve national or international security in any way by singing songs about bombing the Persians . Obama has recognized the importance of to free trade and globalisation, which is good. At the same time his rhetoric on free trade agreements like NAFTA and CAFTA has been disturbing. Suspending or even renegotiating free trade agreements that the US pushed in the first place will do damage to US credibility. Such kind of rhetoric is to be expected from time to time from a Democrat, though. Hopefully he will (or already does) realize that the people of many economically deprived countries have benefitted from free trade agreements with the US, and this is in the US’ long term interests since greater prosperity abroad does not only strengthen international peace but ultimately expands the market for US goods and services.
With the fight for the Democratic nomination almost over, one can only hope that Barack moves towards the center on economic policy. Bill Clinton showed in 1992 that support for free trade, if explained properly, is not a hinderance to a Democratic victory. That’s one thing Barack should learn from Bill.
May 20, 2006
The immigration debate
The Imigration issue and Immigrants are being debated heavily these days.I would like to present my views on this topic.I am an immigrant to this country, I am not a citizen of USA but I would like to be someday. I admit that I didn’t realize the greatness of this country before I came to this country. I lived here now for about eight years and I can geniunely say that this is one of the greatest country in the world . where else can you find a society that is a melting pot of so many cultures, so many religions and so many races and gives an oppurtunity for any individual no matter what his/her beackground is , to live in freedom and prosper not because he belongs to a particular religion or race or sex, but to prosper solely based on their intellect. I have have great respect an love and admiration for this society , this collection of human beings, they call United States of America.
Now, about the amnesty program that the current administration is contemplating about, I support the effort to assimilate the hundreds of thousands of "illegal immigrants" into the American way of life. many people complain about how these illegal immigrants work the system and not pay their taxes now and they argue that they will not contribute to the system once they are granted legal status but continue to draw from the system. I disagree with that argument, when you are an illegal immigrant in this country, you basically have no identity and nobody would like to live their life without acknowledgment. I believe that America, inspite of its flaws is still such a great country in the world because of its values and rewards an individual for their mind than their background. This idea had enticed the people of intellect to this country for a long time and it still does.
I believe that once these "illegal immigrants" are granted a legal status they contribute more to the economy and the American way of life. They will be given an oppurtunity to live their life in freedom and are at the liberty to pursue their dreams of having a happy life. I believe that they would trade the burden of paying taxes to the burden of living an unacknowledged life any day. I believe that this move will strengthen the concept of American way of life and strengthen the economy. I believe that freedom and the quality of life that this country has offerred the immigrants are reciprocated with loyalty and gratitude. I believe that thought of providing home for any individual that is ready to work hard and appreciate and uphold the freedom of self and any other individual is truly what makes this country the greatest nation on earth.
March 8, 2006
Why the Opposition to Peaceful Fission?
During the recent visit of the President of the United States to India, an agreement on nuclear cooperation between the two largest democracies was announced. According to the agreement, India will have to declare 14 out of 22 nuclear reactors civilian in purpose. The remaining 8 can be used as part of India’s military program. The US will help provide technology and fuel to the 14 civilian reactors. India reserves the right to reserve any nuclear reactor it builds in the future for military purposes. However it can receive international assistancec only for its civilian reactors, which will also come under international inspection. The US and the world benefit from this deal in many ways. Number one, this is the first time in history that India has declared its intention to allow international inspections on its civilian reactors. Number two, this will allow India to help meet the growing energy needs of its large population and rapidly expanding economy without burning a lot of fossil fuels. This will reduce the amount of harmful pollutants in the atmosphere, leading to cleaner air for all. Number three, this will help reduce pressure on prices for petroleum based fuels. Number four, this is an example to the entire world that countries that behave responsibly in the international arena and do not indulge in proliferation of weapons of mass destruction will be treated differently than those that do.
What is hard to comprehend is the reaction of some of the media and politicians in the US who are opposing the nuclear agreement. The New York Times has been proiminent in this regard. Edward Markey, a US Representative from Massachusetts, has also been critical of the agreement. One thing that some of the critics keep harping on is that countries like Iran and North Korea will look at this deal and feel discriminated. The critics think that this will make it harder for the US to convince them to give up their nuclear weapons. I just wonder how anybody who follows world history and current politics can put India in the same bracket with North Korea and Iran . The entire point of diplomacy is to see how to best further the interests of your own country by negotiating on different terms with different countries depending on circumstances, shared values and shared objectives. Is it really in the interests of the US to have a nuclear armed Iran and a nuclear armed North Korea but an energy starving India? North Korea and Iran didn’t get their arsenal by playing by the rules. They got their arsenal partly with the help of a certain Dr. Khan from a certain country which lies on India’s border to the west. Incidentally, that country iis cited by critics of the Indo-US nuclear deal as another country that has been discriminated against.
I don’t for a moment doubt the patriotism of Rep. Markey and the NYT and other critics of the deal. But their is a certain amount of intellectual dishonesty in opposing the Indo-US nuclear deal because of discrimination towards other countries and because it leaves India a certain degree of freedom to develop its nuclear arsenal further, and at the same time not seriously challenging the conventional nuclear order which gives 5 countries (Russia, US, UK, China and France) immense privileges in terms of nuclear energy and atomic military development. The critics may feel that the best way to ensure long term security is to limit the nuclear weapons capabilities of other countries. If it is easier to chip away at India’s arsenal than doing the same for Iran and North Korea, go ahead and do it.
However the reality of today’s world is that nations (more specifically ruling establishments) do have qualitative differences amongst them. Some national regimes think it is okay to brainwash their citizens , isolate them from the rest of the world, and routinely threaten the obliteration of other countries. Other regimes may think that it is important to hold free and fair elections, make sure that the press is not bullied around,and that the way to ensure lasting peace is by strong economic, cultural and people to people contacts with other countries. Some countries routinely disburse money to people in other countries to fund terrorist operations. Other countries may use spare funds to assist other nations in holding free and fair elections, and to improve educational and health facilities abroad. Therefore the presence of a nuclear weapons program in some countries may pose a strong threat to world peace than the presence of weapons in other countries. I wish the influential critics of the deal took a moment to ponder this.
A peaceful, economically prosperous world is in the best interests of the people of the US. India long ago announced a no first use policy on nuclear weapons, in addition to a voluntary memoriam on testing. India has an excellent record in terms of not assisting other nations in nuclear weapons programs. Assisting India in its quest for energy can only strengthen the long term economic and security interests of the US.
-A
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